The results of this election were very good for the DUP, now by far the largest party in Northern Ireland and with half of the parliamentary seats in their camp. For Sinn Fein it marked consolidation rather than advance; though their vote was up on the 2001 Westminster election it was only about the same as for the Assembly election in 2003 and down from the European election in 2004. The UUP came third in terms of votes but won only one seat, losing among others their leader David Trimble. The SDLP managed to hold their ground, losing Newry and Armagh but making the surprising gain of South Belfast.
|DUP||241,856||33.7%||9 MPs||(East Belfast, North Belfast, East Antrim, North Antrim, South Antrim, Lagan Valley, East Londonderry, Strangford and Upper Bann)|
|SF||174,530||24.3%||5 MPs||(West Belfast, Fermanagh and South Tyrone, Mid Ulster, Newry and Armagh, and West Tyrone)|
|UUP||127,314||17.7%||1 MP||(North Down)|
|SDLP||125,626||17.5%||3 MPs||(South Belfast and South Down, Foyle)|
|Vote for Yourself etc||890||0.1%|
I ran a predictions contest for this election which attracted 345 entries. The results in Foyle, South Antrim, and especially South Belfast, came as a surprise to a majority of entrants. Nevertheless, ten people, Glyn Roberts, Andrew Lane, Tom Hagans, Robert Little, Justin Savage, Andrew Dawson, George McDowell, William Dukelow, Darragh Doherty and Roy McGivern, all correctly guessed the winner in each one of the 18 seats. The contest winner will depend on who gets the most accurate prediction of the local council elections.
Other sites based at ARK: ORB (Online Research Bank) | CAIN (Conflict Archive on the INternet) | Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey
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Nicholas Whyte, 7 May 2005.
Disclaimer:© Nicholas Whyte 2005 Last Updated on Saturday, 08-May-2010 15:41