East Londonderry

map East
                Antrim East Antrim East Belfast East Belfast East Londonderry Foyle Foyle Fermanagh & South Tyrone Lagan
                Valley Mid-Ulster North Antrim North Antrim Newry & Armagh North Belfast North Belfast North
                Down North Down South Antrim South Belfast South Belfast South Down Strangford Upper Bann West Belfast West Belfast West Tyrone results graph
Map and diagram by Conal Kelly

This constituency takes in the whole of Coleraine and Limavady District Councils, and two wards of Derry City Council. In 2001 the DUP's Gregory Campbell defeated William Ross (UUP), who had represented East Londonderry since it was formed in 1983. The DUP hold three Assembly seats here, and the SDLP and Sinn Fein one each with the last held by independent David McClarty (he held his seat, having previously won for the UUP, in 2011; the DUP gained from the UUP in 2007; the DUP and SF had both made gains in 2003 from the SDLP and an Independent Unionist). See the 1983-92 East Londonderry results.

See spreadsheets from the 2011 Assembly election, the 2010 Westminster election, the 2007 Assembly election, the 2005 Westminster election, the 2003 Assembly election, the 2001 Westminster election, the 1998 Assembly election, the 1997 Westminster election and the 1996 Forum/talks election. See also the detailed guide from 2007 by "Sammy Morse".

East Londonderry was created in 1983; it lost parts of Magherafelt District Council to Mid-Ulster in 1995. In 2010 it gained two Derry wards, Banagher and Claudy, from Foyle (basically the rural hinterland of Derry City Council) as a result of Derry's population growth. This made the new constituency 2.1% more Catholic, and 2.0% less Protestant, than the old.

East Londonderry's population in the 2001 census was 88,737 (11th of the 18 constituencies).

Results of recent elections using new boundaries


DUP UUP Oth U Alliance Oth SDLP SF
2011a 36.9% 8.4% 13.1% 5.5%   14.9% 21.1%
2011lg
31.2% 15.6% 3.1% 6.0% 9.2% 14.2% 20.7%
2010w 34.6% 17.8% 7.4% 5.5%   15.5% 19.3%
2007a
38.4% 17.5% 1.5% 3.8% 3.2% 14.8% 20.8%
2005w 41.0% 19.7%
2.4% 0.2% 19.3% 17.4%
2005lg 31.3% 23.2% 3.5% 2.7% 3.7% 18.4% 17.1%

NB that the figures for elections before 2010 are projections onto the new boundaries.

2011 Assembly election (six seats)

@Gregory Campbell MP (DUP) 6,319 (18.2%)
Cathal O hOisin (SF) 4,681 (13.5%)
@George Robinson (DUP) 3,855 (11.1%)
@David McClarty (Independent) 3,003 (8.6%)
@John Dallat (SDLP) 2,967 (8.5%)

Bernadette Archibald (SF) 2,639 (7.6%)
@Adrian McQuillan (DUP) 2,633 (7.6%)
Thomas Conway (SDLP) 2,222 (6.4%)
Barney Fitzpatrick (Alliance) 1,905 (5.5%)
Boyd Douglas (TUV) 1,568 (4.5%)
Lesley Macaulay (UUP) 1,472 (4.2%)
David Harding (UUP) 1,458 (4.2%)

@ member of the Assembly when it was dissolved.

DUP 12,807 (36.9%, -2.9%) 3 seats
SF 7,320 (21.1%, +1.0%) 1 seat
SDLP 5,189 (14.9%, +1.9%) 1 seat
McClarty 3,003 (8.6%) 1 seat (+1)
UUP 2,930 (8.4%, -10.0%) (-1)
Alliance 1,905 (5.5%, +1.4%)
TUV 1,568 (4.5%)

Electorate: 65,226
Votes cast: 35,303 (54.12%), spoilt votes: 581 (1.6%)
Valid votes: 34,722, quota: 4,961

The UUP's deselection of sitting MLA David McClarty proved a serious mistake, as he stood and won his seat back as an independent, his former party losing ourt entirely in a seat that they held at Westminster until ten years previously. The DUP's Adrian McQuillan took the last seat by 320 votes ahead of the UUP's David Harding, with an SDLP surplus of 246 undistributed (which would probably have made little difference).

2011 local government election

My projection of votes cast in Coleraine, Limavady and the two Derry wards in the constituency:

DUP 10,764 (31.2%)
SF 7,147 (20.7%)
UUP 5,371 (15.6%)
SDLP 4,910 (14.2%)
Alliance 2,064 (6.0%)
TUV 993 (2.9%)
UKIP 91 (0.3%)
PBPA 29 (0.1%)
Inds 3,150 (9.1%)

In a six-seat STV election, these votes would give the DUP two seats, and SF, the UUP and the SDLP one each. It is not at all clear where the last seat would go. Half of the vote for independents is the personal vote of David McClarty; he, an Alliance candidate and possibly a third DUP candidate if they balanced properly could all be in the running.

2010 Westminster Election (one seat)

*@Gregory Campbell (DUP) 12,097 (34.6%, -6.4%)
Cathal Ó hOisín (Sinn Féin) 6,742 (19.3%, +1.9%)
Lesley Macaulay (UCUNF) 6,218 (17.8%, -1.9%)
Thomas Conway (SDLP) 5,399 (15.5% -3.8%)
William Ross (TUV) 2,572 (7.4%)
Barney Fitzpatrick (Alliance) 1,922 (5.5%, +3.1%)
Electorate: 63,220; Total Poll: 35,086 (55.5%); Invalid Votes: 136 (0.4%); Valid Votes: 34,950

The DUP suffered minor erosion here, but as in so many other places, TUV simply failed to break in, even though their candidate had represented this area at Westminster for 27 years. In a six-seat Assembly election, these votes would make the DUP's third seat vulnerable to either TUV or Alliance.

2007 Assembly Election

Full details of each count are available from the Electoral Office (in PowerPoint format) here.
*Gregory Campbell MP (DUP) 6845 (20.2%)
*Francie Brolly (SF) 4476 (13.2%)
*George Robinson (DUP) 3991 (11.8%)
*David McClarty (UUP) 2875 (8.5%)
Adrian McQuillan (DUP) 2650 (7.8%)
*John Dallat (SDLP) 2638 (7.8%)
Billy Leonard (SF) 2321 (6.8%)
*Norman Hillis (UUP) 2054 (6.1%)
Orla Beattie (SDLP) 1797 (5.3%)
Barney Fitzpatrick (Alliance) 1401 (4.1%)
Edwin Stevenson (UUP) 1338 (3.9%)
Joseph Cubitt (UKUP) 549 (1.6%)
Philippe Moison (Green) 521 (1.5%)
Michael McGonigle (RSF) 393 (1.2%)
Victor Christie 73 (0.2%)

*Elected in 2003 from East Londonderry
DUP 13,486 (39.8%, +7.4%) 3 seats (+1)
SF 6,797 (20.0%, +2.2%) 1 seat
UUP 6,267 (18.5%, -4.2%) 1 seat (-1)
SDLP 4,435 (13.1%, -3.2%) 1 seat
Alliance 1,401 (4.1%, +1.9%)
UKUP 549 (1.6%, -1.0%)
Green 521 (1.5%)
RSF 393 (1.2%)
Independent 73 (0.2%)


Electorate 56,104 
Votes cast 34,180 (60.9%); spoilt votes 258 (0.8%) 
Valid votes 33,922; quota 4,847

Always one of the DUP's more likely gains, assisted by poor balancing from the UUP, whose Norman Hillis lost his seat to the DUP's Adrian McQuillan by 879 votes on the last count.

2005 Westminster Election (5 May, 1 seat)

*@Gregory Campbell (DUP) 15,225 (42.9% +10.8%)
@David McClarty (UUP) 7,498 (21.1% -6.3%)
@John Dallat (SDLP) 6,077 (17.1% -3.7%)
Billy Leonard (Sinn Fein) 5,709 (16.1% +0.5%)
Yvonne Boyle (Alliance) 924 (2.6% -1.5%)
Malcolm Samuel (Independent) 71 (0.2% +0.2%)

* outgoing MP.
@ Member of the Assembly

Not a surprise. These votes, if cast in a six-seat STV election, would probably have given the DUP three seats and the UUP, Sinn Fein and SDLP one each.

2005 Local Government Election (5 May)

First preference votes cast in the whole of the Coleraine and Limavady council areas were as follows:

DUP 11295 (32.1%)
UUP 8573 (24.3%)
Sinn Fein 5864 (16.6%)
SDLP 5764 (16.4%)
United Unionist Coalition 1328 (3.8%) Best equivalent result in Northern Ireland
Alliance 1026 (2.9%)
Independents 1388 (3.9%)

It is easy enough to extrapolate from the local council elections because the East Londonderry constituency includes two whole district councils. On these votes the DUP would win two seats, the UUP probably also two, and Sinn Fein and the SDLP one each.

2003 Assembly election (26 November; six seats)

Also available: details of each count with analysis of surplus transfers.
*Gregory Campbell (DUP) 4789 (14.0%)
*David McClarty (UUP) 4069 (11.9%)
Francis Brolly (SF) 4019 (11.7%)
George Robinson (DUP) 3466 (10.1%)
*John Dallat (SDLP) 3190 (9.3%)
Maurice Bradley (DUP) 2836 (8.3%)
*Michael Coyle (SDLP) 2394 (7.0%)
Norman Hillis (UUP) 2292 (6.7%)
Cliona O'Kane (SF) 2102 (6.1%)
*Boyd Douglas (UUC) 1903 (5.6%)
Edwin Stevenson (UUP) 1408 (4.1%)
*Pauline Armitage (Ind) 906 (2.6%)
Yvonne Boyle (Alliance) 762 (2.2%)
Marion Baur (SEA) 137 (0.4%)
DUP 11,091 (32.4%, +8.7%) 2 seats
UUP 7,769 (22.7%, -2.5%) 2 seats
SF 6,121 (17.9%, 8.1%) 1 seats
SDLP 5,584 (16.3%, -7.4%) 1 seat
UUC 1,903 (5.6%) Best result for UUC in Northern Ireland
UKUP 906 (2.6%)
Alliance 762 (2.2%, -3.9%)
SEA 137 (0.4%)

Electorate 56,203 
Votes cast 34,703 (61.7%); spoilt votes 430 (1.2%) 
Valid votes 34,273; quota 4,897 


Reaction:
As widely predicted, sitting MLA's Pauline Armitage, Boyd Douglas and Michael Coyle lost their seats; the DUP and SF gained. Better balancing by the DUP could conceivably have got them a third seat ahead of the UUP's Hillis; better balancing by the UUP would of course have reduced any such threat. The final margin was Dallat's 218 votes ahead of his running-mate Coyle; two counts earlier, Coyle had edged out the DUP's Bradley by 153 votes but in fact this was only for the honour of being runner-up.

East Londonderry had lost 9.12% of its electorate in the great electoral register shake-out, varying from 15.16% in the Cross Glebe ward of Coleraine to 4.99% in Ringsend, also in Coleraine. 5 constituencies lost fewer voters, 12 lost more.

2001 Westminster Election (7 June; 1 seat)

@Gregory Campbell (DUP) 12,813 (32.1%)
*Willie Ross (UUP) 10,912 (27.4%)
@John Dallat (SDLP) 8,298 (20.8%)
Francie Brolly (Sinn Fein) 6,221 (15.6%)
Yvonne Boyle (Alliance) 1,625 (4.1%)

Electorate: 60,215; votes cast: 40,268 (66.8%), spoilt votes: 399 (0.9%);
Valid votes: 39,869; DUP majority 1,901

* outgoing MP
@ member of the Assembly

One of the DUP's dramatic if narrow gains. A six-seat Assembly election on these figures would give each Unionist party two seats, and each Nationalist party one.

2001 Local Government Election (7 June)

First preference votes cast in the whole of the Coleraine and Limavady council areas were as follows:

UUP 11157 (28%)
DUP 9459 (24%)
SDLP 9216 (23%)
SF 3784 (10%)
Alliance 1579 (4%)
UUAP 1351 (3%) Best equivalent result in Northern Ireland
PUP 146 (0.4%)
Independents 3019 (8%)
Total valid votes 39711

If these votes had been cast in a six-seat STV election, the UUP and DUP would have won two seats each, and the SDLP one. Sinn Fein would be the most likely to pick up the last seat.

1998 Assembly Election (25 June; six seats)

Also available: details of each count with analysis of surplus transfers.
 
#Gregory Campbell (DUP) 6,099 
David McClarty (UUP) 5,108 
John Dallat (SDLP) 4,760 
*Arthur Doherty (SDLP) 4,606 
Boyd Douglas (Unionist) 3,811 
Pauline Armitage (UUP) 3,315 elected 9th count 
George Robinson (DUP) 3,208 
Malachy O'Kane (SF) 2,521 
Barbara Dempsey (Alliance) 2,395 
Robert McPherson (UUP) 1,531 
John McIlhenny (SF) 1,339 
David Gilmour (PUP) 582 
David Nelson (UDP) 171 
Maura McCann (NLP) 46 
UUP 9,954 (25.21%) 2 seats
SDLP 9,366 (23.72%) 2 seats
DUP 9,307 (23.57%) 1 seat
SF 3,860 (9.77%) 
Unionist 3,811 (9.65%) 1 seat
Alliance 2,395 (6.06%) 
PUP 582 (1.47%) 
UDP 171 (0.43%) 
NLP 46 (0.12%) 

Electorate: 59,370 
Votes cast 39,492 (66.5%); spoilt votes: 603 (1.5%) 
Valid votes 39,564; quota 5,653

* elected in 1996 Forum/talks election from East Londonderry
# elected in 1996 Forum/talks election as a 'top-up' candidate

Boyd Douglas, an independent Unionist opposed to the Agreement, performed well enough to take one of the Unionist seats with transfers from other Unionists. Good vote management by the SDLP ensured that they stayed ahead of SF to win the other two. The order of the candidates did not change much during the count and the DUP were the runners-up, George Robinson finishing with 3,867 votes to Boyd Douglas's 4,260.

1997 Local Government Election

First preference votes cast in the whole of the Coleraine and Limavady council areas were as follows:

Ulster Unionist Party 13,598 votes (35%)
Social Democratic and Labour Party 9,565 votes (25%)
Democratic Unionist Party 7,218 votes (18%)
Sinn Féin 3,373 votes (9%)
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland 1,738 votes (5%)
Women's Coalition 146 votes (0.38%)
Workers Party 53 votes (0.14%)
Others 1,689 votes (4%)
Total valid votes 38,436 (57.38% of electorate)

1997 Westminster Election (one seat)

*William Ross (Ulster Unionist Party) 13,558 (36%)
ƒGregory Campbell (Democratic Unionist Party) 9,764 (26%)
ƒArthur Doherty (Social Democratic and Labour Party) 8,273 (22%)
Malachy O'Kane (Sinn Féin) 3,463 (9%)
Yvonne Boyle (Alliance Party of Northern Ireland) 2,427 (6%)
James Holmes (Conservative Party) 436 (1%)
Clare Gallen (Natural Law Party) 100 (0.26%)
Ian Anderson (National Democrats) 81 (0.21%)
Turnout 38,102 (64.77%)

* outgoing MP
ƒ member of the Forum

1996 Forum Election (five seats)

Also available: full list of 1996 candidates

Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) 11,386 (31%); David Brewster, Robert White elected
Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) 8,768 (24%); Robert Bolton, Robert Stewart elected
Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) 7,451 (20%); Arthur Doherty elected
Sinn Féin (SF) 3,413 (9%)
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland (APNI) 2,107 (6%)
United Kingdom Unionist Party (UKUP) 1,040 (3%)
Ulster Democratic Party (UDP) 728 (2%)
Progressive Unionist Party (PUP) 652 (2%)
Northern Ireland Women's Coalition (NIWC) 375 (1%)
Labour (Lab) 241 (1%)
Conservative Party (Con) 208 (1%)
Green Party 189 (1%)
Ulster Independence Movement (UIM) 100 (0.27%)
Workers Party (WP) 75 (0.20%)
Democratic Left (DL) 45 (0.12%)
Natural Law Party (NLP) 14
Independent Chambers 5 (0.01%)

Electorate: 58,471; votes cast: 36,893 (63.1%); spoilt votes: 99 (0.2%); valid votes: 36,794

Results 1996-2007


DUP UUP Oth U Alliance Oth SDLP SF
2007a
40% 18% 2% 4% 3% 13% 20%
2005w 43% 21%
3% 0% 17% 16%
2005lg 32% 24% 4% 3% 4% 16% 17%
2003a 32% 23% 8% 2% 0% 16% 18%
2001w 32% 27%
4%
21% 16%
2001lg 24% 28% 4% 4% 8% 23% 10%
1998a 24% 25% 12% 6% 0% 24% 10%
1997lg 18% 35%
5% 5% 25% 9%
1997w 26% 36% 1% 6% 0% 22% 9%
1996f 24% 31% 7% 6% 3% 20% 9%

See also: Full 2003 results from East Londonderry | Full 1998 results from East Londonderry | The Boundary Commission's Provisional Recommendations | Boundary Commission 2003 | Jim Riley's analysis of votes and seats in the 1998 Assembly election | The constituencies

Other sites based at ARK: ORB (Online Research Bank) | CAIN (Conflict Archive on the INternet) | Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey

Your comments, please! Send an email to me at nicholas.whyte@gmail.com.
 
This page has been developed with the support of a project grant from the New Initiatives Fund of the Electoral Commission. However, any views expressed on this page or, in particular, other pages of this website are those of the author and not necessarily shared by The Electoral Commission.

Nicholas Whyte, 3 June 1998; last updated 21 July 2010.



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