![]() |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Map and diagram by Conal Kelly | |
This constituency is the rural north-eastern corner of Northern Ireland. It takes in the whole of Ballymena, Ballymoney and Moyle district councils. The member of parliament has been Rev Ian Paisley (DUP leader) since he first won the seat, defeating the UUP incumbent, in 1970. The DUP hold three Assembly seats here, and the UUP, SDLP and Sinn Fein one each (Sinn Fein won their seat from the UUP in 2003). The constituency shrank considerably in the 1983 boundary review, losing territory to East and South Antrim, but was untouched in the latest round of changes. See 1983-1992 North Antrim results, 1973-1982 North Antrim results and 1950-1970 North Antrim results.
See also the detailed guide by "Sammy Morse".
The New Boundaries: North Antrim lost the three Moyle wards of Glenaan, Glenariff and Glendun (including the towns of Cushendall and Cushendun), to East Antrim, basically a knock-on effect of the radial expansion of the Belfast constituencies. This made the new constituency 2.7% less Catholic, and 2.6% more Protestant than the old.
North Antrim's population in the 2001 census was 101,437 (5th of the 18 constituencies).
| DUP | UUP | Oth U | Alliance | Oth | SDLP | SF | |
| 2010w | 46.4% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | |
| 2007a |
50.9% | 14.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 11.1% | 14.4% |
| 2005w | 56.8% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 11.0% | 14.2% | ||
| 2005lg | 51.7% | 19.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 13.1% |
NB that the figures for elections before 2010 are projections onto the new boundaries.
NB also that the UUP supported a Conservative candidate in 2010 (hence change of colour in above table).
@Ian Paisley [jr] (DUP) 19,672 (46.4%, -10.2%)
Jim Allister (TUV) 7,114 (16.8%)
@Daithi McKay (Sinn Féin) 5,265 (12.4%, -1.8%)
Irwin Armstrong (UCUNF) 4,634 (10.9%, -4.1%)
Declan O'Loan (SDLP) 3,738 (8.8%, -2.2%)
Jayne Dunlop (Alliance) 1,368 (3.2%, +0.1%)
Lyle Cubitt (Independent) 606 (1.4%)
Electorate: 73,338; Total Poll: 42,579 (58.1%); Invalid Votes: 182 (0.4%); Valid Votes: 42,397
@ elected to the Northern Ireland Assembly from this constituency
This was the TUV's best result in Northern Ireland, but leader Jim Allister failed to make the necessary breakthrough. On these figures he would win a seat in an Assembly election, and the DUP would win three; Sinn Féin would win one and the last would probably go to the UUP, the SDLP losing out.
| *Ian Paisley [sr] MP (DUP) 7716 (17.4%) Daithi McKay (SF) 7065 (15.9%) *Ian Paisley [jr] (DUP) 6106 (13.8%) *Mervyn Storey (DUP) 5171 (11.7%) *Robert Coulter (UUP) 5047 (11.4%) Declan O'Loan (SDLP) 3281 (7.4%) Deirdre Nelson (DUP) 2740 (6.2%) Orla Black (SDLP) 2129 (4.8%) Lyle Cubitt (UKUP) 1848 (4.2%) Robert Swann (UUP) 1281 (2.9%) Jayne Dunlop (Alliance) 1254 (2.8%) Paul McGlinchey (Independent) 383 (0.9%) James Gregg (Independent) 310 (0.7%) *Elected in 2003 from North Antrim |
DUP 21,733 (49.0%, +3.1%) 3 seats SF 7,095 (15.9%, +1.9%) 1 seat UUP 6,328 (14.3%, -7.4%) 1 seat SDLP 5,410 (12.2%, -1.4%) 1 seat UKUP 1,848 (4.2%, +3.3%) Alliance 1,254 (2.8%, +0.9%) Inds 693 (1.6%) Electorate 72,814 Votes cast 44,655 (61.3%); spoilt votes 324 (0.7%) Valid votes 44,331; quota 6,334 |
*@ Ian Paisley (DUP) 25,156 (54.8% +4.9%)
@Philip McGuigan (Sinn Fein) 7,191 (15.7% +5.9%)
Rodney McCune (UUP) 6,637 (14.5% -6.5%)
@Sean Farren (SDLP) 5,585 (12.2% -4.6%)
Jayne Dunlop (Alliance) 1,357 (3.0% +0.4%)
Turnout 46,226
* outgoing MP.
@ Member of the Assembly
These votes, if cast in a six-seat STV election, would give the DUP three seats and the UUP and SF one each, with the last seat between the SDLP and a fourth DUP candidate.
DUP 22,086 (48.6%)
UUP 8,388 (18.4%)
Sinn Fein 6,527 (14.4%)
SDLP 5,650 (12.4%)
Independents 2,329 (5.1%)
Alliance 404 (0.9%)
PUP 94 (0.2%)
It is easy enough to extrapolate from the local council elections because the North Antrim constituency includes three whole district councils. If the same votes had been cast in a six-seat STV election, the DUP would have won three seats, and the UUP, SF and the SDLP one each.
| *Ian
Paisley Sr (DUP) 8732 (19.8%) *Ian Paisley Jr (DUP) 7898 (17.9%) *Robert Coulter (UUP) 6385 (14.5%) Philip McGuigan (SF) 6195 (14.0%) *Sean Farren (SDLP) 3648 (8.3%) Mervyn Storey (DUP) 3605 (8.2%) James Currie (UUP) 3153 (7.1%) Declan O'Loan (SDLP) 2361 (5.4%) Jayne Dunlop (Alliance) 867 (2.0%) *Gardiner Kane (Ind) 623 (1.4%) Nathaniel Small (UKUP) 402 (0.9%) Billy McCaughey (PUP) 230 (0.5%) |
DUP
20,235
(45.9%, +8.3%) 3 seats UUP 9,538 (21.6%, -0.7%) 1 seat SF 6,195 (14.0%, +5.9%) 1 seat SDLP 6,009 (13.6%, -3.3%) 1 seat Alliance 867 (2.0%, -2.6%) Ind 623 (1.4%) UKUP 402 (0.9%) PUP 230 (0.5%, -0.8%) Electorate
70,489 |
Reaction: The UUP lost a seat to Sinn Fein. On the final count James Currie was 930 votes behind Sean Farren, with an undistributed SF surplus of 197 which would have widened the distance.
North Antrim had lost 8.19% of its electorate in the great electoral register shake-out, varying from 15.96% in the Knocklayd ward of Moyle to 4.13% in the Craigywarren ward of Ballymena. 15 constituencies lost more voters, only Fermanagh-South Tyrone and Mid Ulster lost fewer.Electorate:
74,451; votes cast: 49,545 (66.5%); spoilt votes: 328 (0.6%)
Valid votes:
49,217; DUP majority 14,224
* outgoing MP
@ Member of the Assembly
Not a surprising result. A six-seat Assembly election on these figures would give the DUP three seats, and the UUP and SDLP one each, with the last seat between the DUP and UUP.
DUP 19774
(41%)
Best equivalent result in Northern Ireland
UUP 11905 (24%)
SDLP 8644 (18%)
SF 2513 (5%)
Alliance 317
(1%)
PUP 206 (0.4%)
NIUP 186 (0.4%)
Independents
5097 (10%)
Total valid
votes 48642
It is easy enough to extrapolate from the local council elections because the North Antrim constituency includes three whole district councils. If the same votes had been cast in a six-seat STV election, the DUP would have won three seats, the UUP two and the SDLP one.
| *Ian
Paisley (DUP) 10,590 *Sean Farren (SDLP) 6,433 *Robert Coulter (UUP) 5,407 *Ian Paisley Jr (DUP) 4,459 Gardiner Kane (DUP) 3,638 James Leslie (UUP) 3,458 William Wright (United Unionist) 3,297 Jayne Dunlop (All) 2,282 Patricia Campbell (UUP) 2,199 James McCarry (SF) 2,024 Joe Cahill (SF) 2,021 Malachy McCamphill (SDLP) 1,982 Richard Rodgers (PUP) 641 Oliver McMullan (Ind Nat) 478 Maurice McAllister (UDP) 400 Chris McCaughan (Ind) 194 John Wright (NLP) 156 Thomas Palmer (Ind) 38 |
DUP
18,687 (37.60%) 3 seats Best result for DUP in Northern Ireland UUP 11,064 (22.26%) 2 seats SDLP 8,415 (16.93%) 1 seat SF 4,045 (8.14%) United Unionist 3,297 (6.63%) Alliance 2,282 (4.59%) PUP 641 (1.29%) Ind Nat 478 (0.96%) UDP 400 (0.80%) Inds 232 (0.47%) NLP 156 (0.31%) Electorate:
73,247 |
* elected in 1996 Forum/talks election from North Antrim
Not a very surprising result, though a good one for the DUP. Their third candidate finished on 5,818 votes to SF's 5,154, but with an undistributed UUP surplus of 480 to be taken into account the final margin was pretty comfortable.
Ulster
Unionist
Party 11,954 votes (32%)
Democratic
Unionist Party 11,839 votes (32%)
Social Democratic
and Labour Party 7,565 votes (20%)
Sinn Féin
962 votes (3%)
Alliance Party
of Northern Ireland 447 votes (1%)
Ulster Party
184 votes (1%)
Progressive
Unionist Party 180 votes (1%)
Women's Coalition
66 votes (0.19%)
Others 4,188
votes (11%)
Total valid
votes 37,385 (51.42% of the electorate)
* outgoing MP
ƒ Member of the Forum
Democratic
Unionist
Party (DUP) 16,448 (37%); Ian Paisley sr, Ian Paisley jr elected Best
result for DUP in Northern Ireland
Ulster Unionist
Party (UUP) 11,195 (25%); Robert Coulter, Joe Gaston elected
Social Democratic
and Labour Party (SDLP) 7,185 (16%); Sean Farren elected
Sinn Féin
(SF) 2,579 (6%)
Alliance Party
of Northern Ireland (APNI) 2,518 (6%)
United Kingdom
Unionist Party (UKU) 1,185 (3%)
Ulster Democratic
Party (UDP) 768 (2%)
Independent
McMullan 670 (2%)
Progressive
Unionist Party (PUP) 665 (1%)
Northern Ireland
Women's Coalition (NIWC) 272 (1%)
Conservative
Party (Con) 259 (1%)
Labour (Lab)
187 (0.42%)
Ulster Independence
Movement (UIM) 167 (0.38%)
Green Party
150 (0.34%)
Democratic
Partnership 114 (0.26%)
Workers Party
(WP) 60 (0.13%)
Democratic
Left (DL) 40 (0.09%)
Natural Law
Party (NLP) 14 (0.03%)
Independent
Chambers 13 (0.03%)
Electorate: 71,799; votes cast: 44,560 (62.0%); spoilt votes: 71 (0.1%); valid votes: 44,489
Ian Paisley Sr had been elected to the old Northern Ireland House of Commons in 1970 representing the Bannside constituency; he was elected to the 1973 Assembly, the 1975 Convention, and the 1982 Assembly from North Antrim.
| DUP | UUP | Oth U | Alliance | Oth | SDLP | SF | |
| 2007a |
49% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 16% |
| 2005w | 55% | 14% | 3% | 12% | 16% | ||
| 2005lg | 49% | 18% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 14% |
| 2003a | 46% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 14% | |
| 2001w | 50% | 21% | 3% | 17% | 10% | ||
| 2001lg | 41% | 24% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 5% |
| 1998a | 38% | 22% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 17% | 8% |
| 1997lg | 32% | 32% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 20% | 3% |
| 1997w | 47% | 24% | 6% | 1% | 16% | 6% | |
| 1996f | 37% | 25% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 6% |
See also: Full 1998 results from North Antrim | The Boundary Commission's Provisional Recommendations | Boundary Commission 2003 | Jim Riley's analysis of votes and seats in the 1998 Assembly election | The constituencies
Other sites based at ARK: ORB (Online Research Bank) | CAIN (Conflict Archive on the INternet) | Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey
Your
comments,
please! Send an email to me at nicholas.whyte@gmail.com.
Nicholas Whyte, 3 June 1998; last updated 9 May 2010.
|
Disclaimer:© Nicholas Whyte 1998-2007
|