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| Map and diagram by Conal Kelly | |
This constituency takes in the largely rural south-eastern corner of Northern Ireland, including most of Down District Council, the eastern part of Newry and Mourne District Council, and a small part of Banbridge District Council. The MP has been SDLP party leader Margaret Ritchie since 2010; she succeeded Eddy McGrady (SDLP), who had defeated Enoch Powell (UUP) in 1987. The SDLP hold two Assembly seats, as do Sinn Fein, with the other two held by the UUP and DUP (Sinn Fein gained a seat from the SDLP in 2003). The constituency lost the Ballynahinch area to Strangford in the 2009 changes, having previously lost the Dromore area to Lagan Valley and Saintfield to Strangford in the 1995 revision. See the 1983-1992 South Down results, the 1973-84 South Down results and the 1950-1970 South Down results.
See also the detailed guide from 2007 by "Sammy Morse".
The New Boundaries: South Down lost three Down district wards, Ballymaglave, Ballynahinch East and Kilmore, to Strangford. This made the new constituency 3.3% more Catholic, and 3.1% less Protestant than the old.South Down's population in the 2001 census was 104,658 (2nd of the 18 constituencies).
| DUP | UUP | Oth U | Alliance | Oth | SDLP | SF | |
| 2010w | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 48.5% | 28.7% |
| 2007a |
15.6% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 6.0% | 32.9% | 32.2% |
| 2005w | 16.1% | 8.7% | 1.3% | 46.9% | 27.0% | ||
| 2005lg | 13.0% | 14.9% | 1.1% | 10.8% | 34.8% | 25.4% |
NB that the figures for elections before 2010 are projections onto the new boundaries.
NB also that the Conservatives got 0.8% in 2007 (on the old boundaries) and supported the UUP in 2010.
@Margaret Ritchie (SDLP) 20,648 (48.5%, +1.7%)
@Caitriona Ruane (Sinn Féin) 12,236 (28.7%, +1.7%)
@Jim Wells (DUP) 3,645 (8.6%, -7.5%)
@John McCallister (UCUNF) 3,093 (7.3% -1.5%)
Ivor McConnell (TUV) 1,506 (3.5%)
Cadogan Enright (Green) 901 (2.1%)
David Griffin (Alliance) 560 (1.3%, ±0%)
Electorate: 70,784; Total Poll: 42,840 (60.5%); Invalid Votes: 251 (0.6%); Valid Votes: 42,589
@ elected to the Northern Ireland Assembly from this constituency
The SDLP's new leader, Margaret Ritchie, can feel content that she actually improved the SDLP vote here. If cast in a six-seat Assembly election, these votes would give the SDLP three seats, SF two and the DUP one, thus an SDLP gain from the UUP.
| *Caitriona
Ruane (SF) 6334 (13.7%) *Margaret Ritchie (SDLP) 5838 (12.7%) *P.J. Bradley (SDLP) 5652 (12.3%) *Jim Wells (DUP) 5542 (12.0%) *Willie Clarke (SF) 5138 (11.1%) John McCallister (UUP) 4447 (9.6%) Michael Carr (SDLP) 2972 (6.4%) Eamonn McConvey (SF) 2662 (5.8%) William Burns (DUP) 2611 (5.7%) Ciaran Mussen (Green) 1622 (3.5%) Henry Reilly (UK Independence Party) 1229 (2.7%) David Griffin (Alliance) 691 (1.5%) Martin Cunningham (Independent) 434 (0.9%) Frederick Wharton (UKUP) 424 (0.9%) Peter Bowles (Conservative) 391 (0.8%) Malachi Curran (Labour) 123 (0.3%) *Elected in 2003 from South Down |
SDLP 14,462 (31.4, -3.7%) 2 seats SF 14,134 (30.7%, +4.2%) 2 seats DUP 8,153 (17.7%, +2.7%) 1 seat UUP 4,447 (9.6%, -8.6%) 1 seat Green 1,622 (3.5%, +1.8%) UKIP 1,229 (2.7%) Alliance 691 (1.5%, +0.4%) Cunningham 434 (0.9%) UKUP 424 (0.9%, +0.4%) Conservative 391 (0.8%) Labour 123 (0.3%) Electorate 71,704 Votes cast 46,623 (65.0%); spoilt votes 513 (1.1%) Valid votes 46,110; quota 6,588 |
*Eddie McGrady (SDLP) 21,557 (44.7% -1.6%)
@Caitriona Ruane (Sinn Fein) 12,417 (25.8% +6.1%)
@Jim Wells (DUP) 8,815 (18.3% +3.3%)
@Dermot Nesbitt (UUP) 4,775 (9.9% -7.7%)
Julian Crozier (Alliance) 613 (1.3% +/- 0.0.%)
* outgoing MP.
@ Member of the Assembly
If these votes were cast in a six-seat STV election, the SDLP would win three seats, and SF and the DUP one each. The last seat would be most likely to go to SF.
SDLP 16,290.1 (34.5%)
Sinn Fein 11,396.2 (24.1%)
UUP 7,417.5 (15.7%)
DUP 7,231.8 (15.3%)
Green 1,650.8 (3.5%)
Alliance 535.2 (1.1%)
WP 97 (0.2%)
Independents 2,622 (5.6%)
These votes, if cast in a six-seat STV election, would porbably give the SDLP and SF two seats each, and the UUP and DUP one each.
| *Jim
Wells (DUP) 6789 (15.0%) *Dermot Nesbitt (UUP) 5368 (11.8%) *P.J. Bradley (SDLP) 5337 (11.8%) Catriona Ruane (SF) 5118 (11.3%) Margaret Ritchie (SDLP) 4261 (9.4%) Willie Clarke (SF) 4083 (9.0%) *Eamonn O'Neill (SDLP) 3942 (8.7%) Jim Donaldson (UUP) 2885 (6.4%) Eamonn McConvey (SF) 2806 (6.2%) Marian Fitzpatrick (SDLP) 2382 (5.3%) Raymond Blaney (Green) 799 (1.8%) Trudy Miller (NIWC) 565 (1.2%) Neil Powell (Alliance) 489 (1.1%) Nelson Wharton (UKUP) 245 (0.5%) Malachi Curran (Ind) 162 (0.4%) Desmond O'Hagan (WP) 115 (0.3%) |
SDLP
15,922
(35.1%, -10.2%) 2 seats SF 12,007 (26.5%, +11.4%) 2 seats UUP 8,253 (18.2%, +3.8%) 1 seat DUP 6,789 (15.0%, +5.6%) 1 seat Green 799 (1.8%) NIWC 565 (1.2%, -2.0%) Alliance 489 (1.1%, -1.8%) UKUP 245 (0.5%, -4.5%) Ind 162 (0.4%) WP 115 (0.3%, +/-0.0%) Electorate
70,149 |
Initial
reaction:
One of several seats where SF gained from the SDLP. On the final count,
542 votes of Nesbitt's surplus of 1847 (originally votes from Jim
Donaldson)
went fairly evenly split between the SDLP candidates, 17 evenly between
the two SF candidates, and the other 1288 non-transferable. Had the
SDLP
candidates got twice as much from the UUP they would both have been
ahead
of SF's Clarke for the last seat. As it was Margaret Ritchie edged out
incumbent Eamonn O'Neill by the second smallest margin of the election,
36 votes.
South Down had lost 9.54% of its electorate in the great electoral register shake-out, varying from 17.60% in the Bracken and Kilbroney ward of Newry and Mourne to 4.55% in the Rathfriland ward of Banbridge. 6 constituencies lost fewer voters, 11 lost more.
Electorate:
73,519; votes cast: 52,648 (71.6%); spoilt votes: 574 (1.0%)
Valid votes:
52,074; SDLP majority 13,858
* outgoing MP
@ Member of the Assembly
No surprise in the result, though again the increase in the SF vote was striking. A six-seat Assembly election here would give the SDLP three seats and the other three big parties one each.
SDLP
20450.7
(40%)
SF 10235.8
(20%)
UUP 9820.0
(19%)
DUP 6933.2
(14%)
UKUP 193.5
(0.4%)
WP 115 (0.2%)
NIUP 9 (0.02%)
Independents
3388.6 (7%)
Total valid
51145.8
Extrapolating from the local government elections is very difficult because the South Down constituency breaches no less than four local electoral area boundaries. If we make some reasonable adjustments, we get the figures above for the whole South Down constituency. These would give the SDLP three seats, and Sinn Fein, the UUP and the DUP one each.
| *Eddie
McGrady (SDLP) 10,373 *Mick Murphy (SF) 6,251 P.J. Bradley (SDLP) 5,571 *Dermot Nesbitt (UUP) 5,480 Jim Wells (DUP) 4,826 *Hugh Carr (SDLP) 3,731 Eamonn O'Neill (SDLP) 3,582 Frederick Wharton (UKU) 2,576 Norman Hanna (UUP) 1,939 Anne Carr (NIWC) 1,658 George Graham (Unionist) 1,562 Garret O'Fachtna (SF) 1,520 Anne-Marie Cunningham (All) 1,502 #Malachi Curran (Lab) 498 Desmond O'Hagan (WP) 130 Patrick O'Connor (Ind Lab) 121 Thomas Mullins (NLP) 33 |
SDLP
23,257 (45.29%) 3 seats SF 7,771 (15.13%) 1 seat UUP 7,419 (14.45%) 1 seat DUP 4,826 (9.40%) 1 seat UKU 2,576 (5.02%) NIWC 1,658 (3.23%) Unionist 1,562 (3.04%) Alliance 1,502 (2.92%) Lab 498 (0.97%) WP 130 (0.25%) Ind Lab 121 (0.24%) NLP 33 (0.06%) Electorate:
71,027 |
* elected
in
1996 Forum/talks election from South Down
# elected in
1996 Forum/talks election as a 'top-up' candidate.
Not a surprising result, but a good one for the SDLP in what is now their second strongest constituency. As in neighbouring Newry and Armagh, the UUP won only one seat despite having held this constituency at Westminster until 1987. Hugh Carr, the runner-up, was almost a thousand votes adrift of his running-mate Eamonn O'Neill (by 5,187 to 6,163) with surpluses of 53 votes from Bradley and 833 from Wells left undistributed.
Social
Democratic
and Labour Party 17,515.1 (43%)
Ulster Unionist
Party 10,176.9 (25%)
Sinn Féin
4,015.2 (10%)
Democratic
Unionist Party 3,899.2 (10%)
Alliance Party
of Northern Ireland 1419.8 (3%)
Women's Coalition
430 (1%)
Labour 327
(1%)
Workers Party
210 (1%)
Green Party
113 (0.28%)
Others 2,330
(6%)
Total valid
40708.5 (57.91%)
Social
Democratic
and Labour Party (SDLP) 20,220 (43%) 3 seats (Edward McGrady, Hugh
Carr,
Margaret Ritchie elected)
Ulster Unionist
Party (UUP) 10,379 (22%) 1 seat (Dermot Nesbitt elected)
Sinn Féin
(SF) 6,142 (13%) 1 seat (Mick Murphy elected)
Democratic
Unionist Party (DUP) 5,060 (10%)
Alliance Party
of Northern Ireland (APNI) 1,685 (4%)
Labour (Lab)
927 (2%)
Progressive
Unionist Party (PUP) 497 (1%)
Northern Ireland
Women's Coalition (NIWC) 464 (1%)
Ulster Democratic
Party (UDP) 404 (1%)
Green Party
251 (1%)
Conservative
Party (Con) 197 (0.42%)
Workers Party
(WP) 162 (0.35%)
Ulster Independence
Movement (UIM) 130 (0.28%)
Democratic
Partnership 117 (0.25%)
Democratic
Left (DL) 65 (0.14%)
Natural Law
Party (NLP) 30 (0.06%)
Independent
Chambers 18 (0.04%)
Electorate: 69,035; votes cast: 46,891 (67.9%); spoilt votes: 143 (0.3%); valid votes: 46,748
McGrady had been elected to the 1973 Assembly, the 1975 Convention, and the 1982 Assembly from South Down.
| DUP | UUP | Oth U | Alliance | Oth | SDLP | SF | |
| 2007a |
18% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 31% | 31% |
| 2005w | 18% | 10% | 1% | 45% | 26% | ||
| 2005lg | 15% | 16% | 1% | 10% | 34% | 24% | |
| 2003a | 15% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 35% | 26% |
| 2001w | 15% | 18% | 1% | 46% | 20% | ||
| 2001lg | 14% | 19% | 0% | 7% | 40% | 20% | |
| 1998a | 9% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 45% | 15% |
| 1997lg | 10% | 25% | 3% | 8% | 43% | 10% | |
| 1997w | 33% | 3% | 0% | 53% | 10% | ||
| 1996f | 10% | 22% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 43% | 13% |
See also: Full 2003 results from South Down | Full 1998 results from South Down | The Boundary Commission's Provisional Recommendations | Boundary Commission 2003 | Jim Riley's analysis of votes and seats in the 1998 Assembly election | The constituencies
Other sites based at ARK: ORB (Online Research Bank) | CAIN (Conflict Archive on the INternet) | Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey
Your
comments,
please! Send an email to me at nicholas.whyte@gmail.com.
Nicholas Whyte, 3 June 1998; last updated 8 May 2010.
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Disclaimer:© Nicholas Whyte 1998-2007
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