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| Map and diagram by Conal Kelly | |
This constituency takes in all of Armagh
District Council and the western part of Newry and Mourne District Council. The
member of parliament is Conor Murphy (SF), who won the seat when
Seamus Mallon (SDLP) retired in 2005. Mallon had defeated Jim
Nicholson (UUP) in a 1986 by-election. Sinn Fein have three
Assembly seats here, and the other three are held by the SDLP, UUP
and DUP (Sinn Fein gained a seat from the SDLP in 2003). See the 1983-1992 Newry and Armagh results.
See also the detailed
guide from 2007 by "Sammy Morse".
Newry and Armagh was created in 1983, hardly changed in 1995 and not changed at all in 2010.
Newry and Armagh's population in the 2001 census was 100,950 (6th of the 18 constituencies).
| DUP | UUP | Oth U | Alliance | Oth | SDLP | SF | |
| 2011a | 13.1% | 18.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 23.5% | 40.8% |
| 2011lg | 11.9% | 18.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 22.8% | 39.7% | |
| 2010w | 12.8% | 19.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 23.4% | 42.0% | |
| 2007a |
12.9% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 6.6% | 19.8% | 42.1% |
| 2005w | 18.4% | 13.9% | 1.2% | 25.2% | 41.4% | ||
| 2005lg | 16.9% | 16.1% | 4.6% | 24.0% | 38.5% |
| @Conor Murphy MP (SF) 9,127 (19.6%) @Danny Kennedy (UUP) 8,718 (18.7%) @Dominic Bradley (SDLP) 7,123 (15.3%) @Cathal Boylan (SF) 6,614 (14.2%) @William Irwin (DUP) 6,101 (13.1%) Thomas O'Hanlon (SDLP) 3,825 (8.2%) @Mickey Brady (SF) 3,254 (8.2%) Barrie Halliday (TUV) 830 (1.8%) David Murphy (Alliance) 734 (1.6%) Robert Woods (UKIP) 98 (0.2%) James Malone (Independent) 90 (0.2%) @ member of the Assembly when it was dissolved. |
SF 18,995 (40.8%, -1.2%) 3 seats SDLP 10,948 (23.5%, +3.8%) 1 seat UUP 8,718 (18.7%, +5.6%) 1 seat DUP 6,101 (13.1%, +0.2%) 1 seat TUV 830 (1.8%) Alliance 734 (1.6%, +1.0%) UKIP 98 (0.2%) Independent 90 (0.2%) Electorate: 77,544 Votes cast: 47,562 (61.3%); spoilt votes 1,048 (2.2%) Valid votes: 46,514; quota 6,645 |
This was the only constituency where there were no women candidates, and also the only constituency where all six MLA's elected in 2007 were standing; all six were re-elected, O'Hanlon of the SDLP ending 610 votes behind SF's Brady - though with a 478-vote SDLP surplus undistributed, the result was closer than it looked, and I understand that Brady was made to sweat until his running-mates' transfers came through.
*@Conor Murphy (Sinn
Féin) 18,857 (42.0%, +0.6%)
@Dominic Bradley (SDLP) 10,526 (23.4%, -1.8%)
@Danny Kennedy (UCUNF) 8,558 (19.1%, +5.2)
William Irwin (DUP) 5,764 (12.8%, -5.6%)
William Frazer (Independent) 656 (1.5%)
Andrew Muir (Alliance) 545 (1.2%)
Electorate: 74,308; Total Poll: 45,249 (60.9%); Invalid Votes: 343
(0.8%); Valid Votes: 44,906
* incumbent
@ elected to the Northern Ireland Assembly from this constituency
A decent defence from Murphy; more interesting is the switch between the two Unionist parties, this beig I think the only seat where the DUP were outpolled by the UUP. However, a six-seat Assembly election on these votes would give no change to the current distribution of MLAs.
| *Conor Murphy MP (SF)
7437 (15.0%) Cathal Boylan (SF) 7105 (14.3%) *Danny Kennedy (UUP) 6517 (13.1%) William Irwin (DUP) 6418 (12.9%) Mickey Brady (SF) 6337 (12.8%) *Dominic Bradley (SDLP) 5318 (10.7%) Sharon Haughey (SDLP) 4500 (9.1%) *Paul Berry (Independent Unionist) 2317 (4.7%) *Davy Hyland (Independent) 2188 (4.4%) William Frazer (Independent Unionist) 605 (1.2%) Arthur Morgan (Green) 599 (1.2%) Máire Hendron (Alliance) 278 (0.6%) *Elected in 2003 from Newry and Armagh |
SF 20,879 (42.1%, +2.3%) 3
seats SDLP 9,818 (19.8%, -4.8%) 1 seat UUP 6,517 (13.1%, -2.4%) 1 seat DUP 6,418 (12.9%, -5.2%) 1 seat Ind U's 2,922 (5.9%) Ind 2,188 (4.4%) Green 599 (1.2%) Alliance 278 (0.6%) Electorate 70,823 Votes cast 50,165 (70.8%); spoilt votes 546 (1.1%) Valid votes 49,619; quota 7,089 |
@Conor Murphy (Sinn Fein) 20,965 (41.4% +10.5%)
@Dominic Bradley (SDLP) 12,770 (25.2% -12.2%)
@Paul Berry (DUP) 9,311 (18.4% -1.0%)
@Danny Kennedy (UUP) 7,025 (13.9% +1.6%)
Gerry Markey (Independent) 625 (1.2%)
@ Member of the Assembly
SF's most widely anticipated (and, as it turned out, only) gain. These votes, if cast in a six-seat STV election, would have given SF three seats and the SDLP, DUP and UUP one each.
The Newry and Armagh constituency contains all 22 wards in Armagh and 17 of the 30 wards in Newry and Mourne (all 7 wards in the Newry Town DEA, all 5 wards in the Slieve Gullion DEA, and 5 of the 6 wards in The Fews DEA [Bessbrook, Camlough, Derrymore, Newtownhamilton and Tullyhappy])
Sinn Fein 19,449.8 (38.5%)
SDLP 12,124.8 (24.0%)
DUP 8,527.5 (16.9%)
UUP 8,142.8 (16.1%)
Independents 2,338 (4.6%)
Extrapolating from the local government elections is difficult because the Newry and Armagh constituency breaches one electoral area boundary. These votes, cast in a six seat STV election, would have elected two from SF and one each from the SDLP, DUP and UUP, with the last seat between the SDLP and SF.
| *Paul Berry
(DUP) 8125 (17.1%) *Conor Murphy (SF) 7595 (16.0%) *Danny Kennedy (UUP) 7347 (15.5%) Davy Hyland (SF) 5779 (12.2%) Patricia O'Rawe (SF) 5478 (11.6%) Jim Lennon (SDLP) 4116 (8.7%) Dominic Bradley (SDLP) 4111 (8.7%) *John Fee (SDLP) 3410 (7.2%) William Frazer (Ind) 632 (1.3%) Freda Donnelly (WP) 474 (1.0%) Peter Whitcroft (Alliance) 311 (0.7%) |
SF 18,852 (39.8%, +13.8%) 3
seats SDLP 11,637 (24.6%, -10.4%) 1 seat DUP 8,599 (18.1%, +4.8%) 1 seat UUP 7,347 (15.5%, -2.6%) 1 seat Ind 632 (1.3%) Alliance 311 (0.7%, -0.7%) Electorate 68,731 Votes cast 48,233 (70.2%); spoilt votes 855 (1.8%) Valid votes 47,378; quota 6,769 |
Electorate: 72,466; votes cast: 56,208 (77.5%); spoilt votes: 587
(1.0%)
Valid votes: 55,621; SDLP majority 3,576
* outgoing MP
@ member of the Assembly
The narrowness of Mallon's victory surprised many observers. If this had been a six-seat Assembly election, the Nationalist parties would have won two seats each and the Unionist parties one each.
SF 19161.3 (35%)
SDLP 15237.8 (28%)
UUP 10115.7 (18%)
DUP 8254.5 (15%)
NIWC 209 (0.4%)
Independents 2091 (4%)
Total valid 55069.3
The above figures in a six-seat STV election would have given two seats each to Sinn Fein and the SDLP, and one each to the UUP and the DUP.
| *Seamus Mallon (SDLP) 13,582 Paul Berry (DUP) 7,214 *Danny Kennedy (UUP) 5,495 Conor Murphy (SF) 4,839 Davy Hyland (SF) 4,643 *Pat McNamee (SF) 4,570 Jim Speers (UUP) 4,324 John Fee (SDLP) 3,166 *Frank Feeley (SDLP) 2,205 Mary Allen (Ind) 1,227 Kate Fearon (WC) 1,138 William Fraser (Ulster Independence) 933 Pete Whitcroft (Alliance) 777 David Evans (NLP) 23 |
SDLP 18,953 votes (35.01%) 2
seats SF 14,052 votes (25.96%) 2 seats UUP 9,819 votes (18.14%) 1 seat DUP 7,214 votes (13.33%) 1 seat Independent 1,227 votes (2.27%) WC 1,138 votes (2.10%) Ulster Independence 933 votes (1.72%) Alliance 777 votes (1.44%) NLP 23 votes (0.04%) Electorate: 71,553 |
* elected in 1996 Forum/talks election from Newry and Armagh
A good result for the DUP; not so good for the UUP who held this parliamentary seat from 1983 to 1986. The three SF candidates balanced their votes well but one was overtaken by the SDLP's John Fee, who finished with 7,169 votes, far ahead of his running mate Frank Feely's 5,875. Feely had been elected at all four previous regional elections.
Social Democratic and Labour Party 15,705.4 (34%)
Ulster Unionist Party 13,778.6 (30%)
Sinn Féin 11,408.8 (25%)
Democratic Unionist Party 3,117 (7%)
Alliance 348 (1%)
Others 1,959 (4%)
Total valid 46489.8 (65.93% of electorate)
Also available: full list of 1996
candidates
Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) 16,775 (34%) 2 seats
(Seamus Mallon, Frank Feeley elected)
Sinn Féin (SF) 12,585 (26%) 2 seats (Patrick McNamee, Maria
Caraher elected)
Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) 11,047 (22%) 1 seat (Danny Kennedy
elected)
Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) 4,774 (10%)
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland (APNI) 1,037 (2%)
Progressive Unionist Party (PUP) 640 (1%)
United Kingdom Unionist Party (UKUP) 474 (1%)
Northern Ireland Women's Coalition (NIWC) 356 (1%)
Labour (Lab) 262 (1%)
Ulster Democratic Party (UDP) 257 (1%)
Workers Party (WP) 208 (0.42%)
Green Party 205 (0.42%)
Ulster Independence Movement (UIM) 173 (0.35%)
Conservative Party (Con) 131 (0.27%)
Democratic Partnership 114 (0.23%)
Independent Democratic Unionist Party 55 (0.11%)
Democratic Left (DL) 46 (0.09%)
Natural Law Party (NLP) 31 (0.06%)
Independent Chambers 12 (0.02%)
Electorate: 69,887; votes cast: 49,347 (70.6%); spoilt votes: 165
(0.3%); valid votes: 49,182
Both Mallon and Feeley had been elected to the 1973
Assembly, the 1975 Convention and the 1982 Assembly, for Armagh and South Down
respectively (Mallon, however, was disqualified after the 1982
election).
| DUP | UUP | Oth U | Alliance | Oth | SDLP | SF | |
| 2007a |
13% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 42% |
| 2005w | 18% | 14% | 1% | 25% | 41% | ||
| 2005lg | 17% | 16% | 5% | 24% | 38% | ||
| 2003a | 18% | 16% | 1% | 1% | 25% | 40% | |
| 2001w | 19% | 12% | 37% | 31% | |||
| 1997lg | 15% | 18% | 4% | 28% | 35% | ||
| 1998a | 13% | 18% | 1% | 6% | 35% | 26% | |
| 1997lg | 7% | 30% | 1% | 4% | 34% | 25% | |
| 1997w | 34% | 2% | 0% | 43% | 21% | ||
| 1996f | 10% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 34% | 26% |
See also: Full 2003 results from Newry and Armagh | Full 1998 results from Newry and Armagh | The Boundary Commission's Provisional Recommendations | Boundary Commission 2003 | Jim Riley's analysis of votes and seats in the 1998 Assembly election | The constituencies
Other sites based at ARK: ORB (Online Research Bank) | CAIN (Conflict Archive on the INternet) | Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey
Your comments, please! Send an email to me at nicholas.whyte@gmail.com.
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This page has been developed with the support of a project grant from the New Initiatives Fund of the Electoral Commission. However, any views expressed on this page or, in particular, other pages of this website are those of the author and not necessarily shared by The Electoral Commission. |
Nicholas Whyte, 3 June 1998; last updated 9 May 2010.
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Disclaimer:© Nicholas Whyte 1998-2006
Last Updated on 4 December 2006
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