Mid Ulster District Council Elections, 2014

The new authority includes all of the old Cookstown District and Magherafelt District Councils, and most of Dungannon Borough, except the Charlemont triangle which becomes part of the new 'ABC' local government district.

A good result in 2014 for Sinn Fein, who the largest single party in all but one of the DEAs and only three seats away from an overall majority - their best result in terms of number of seats anywhere except belfast, and best result proportionally anywhere. Careful balancing in Dungannon converted the DUP's narrow margin in votes into an extra seat, making them the biggest single party there and second biggest overall. 

map
Map by Conal Kelly



Summary

Electoral Area 2014 Results
Clogher Valley
2 SF, 2 DUP, 1 UUP, 1 SDLP
Magherafelt 2 SF, 1 DUP, 1 SDLP, 1 UUP
Dungannon 2 DUP, 1 UUP, 1 SF, 1 Ind, 1 SDLP
Cookstown 3 SF, 2 UUP, 1 DUP, 1 SDLP
Moyola 3 SF, 1 DUP, 1 UUP
Carntogher
3 SF, 1 SDLP, 1 DUP
Torrent
4 SF, 1 SDLP, 1 UUP
2014 Results 2011 Notional Results
Votes by Party:
SF: 22,587 (41.0%), 18 councillors
DUP: 9,723 (17.6%), 8 councillors
UUP: 9,573 (17.4%), 7 councillors
SDLP: 7,600 (13.8%), 6 councillors
Ind: 2,689 (4.9%), 1 councillors
TUV 2,380 (4.3%)
Alliance: 350 (0.6%)
UKIP 195 (0.4%)
Votes by Party:
SF: 24,071 (40.6%), 17 councillors
DUP: 11,096 (18.7%), 9 councillors
SDLP: 9,344 (15.8%), 6 councillors
UUP: 8,939 (15.1%), 6 councillors
TUV: 2,605 (4.4%)
Alliance: 298 (0.5%)
Ind: 2,889 (4.9%) 2 councillors (2 Ind Nats)

55,098 Electorate; votes cast: 55,098 (57.9%); spoilt votes: 981 (1.8%); valid votes: 56,079

2011 Census: 88,375 "Catholic" (63.77%); 46,372 "Protestant" (33.46%); 690 Other (0.50%); 3,153 None (2.28%)

See also results for:
Cookstown: 1993-2011, 1985-89, and 1973-81
Magherafelt: 1993-2011, 1985-89, and 1973-81

Dungannon: 1993-2011, 1985-89, and 1973-81


Clogher Valley (6 seats)

Westminster seat: Fermanagh and South Tyrone
Includes these wards: Augher & Clogher, Aughnacloy, Ballygawley, Caledon, Castlecaulfield, and Fivemiletown.

There is a real poetry to the sound of that old Ordnance Survey map title - Augher, Clogher and Aughnacloy. Anyway, enough of that...

2014

Frances Burton (DUP) 1,584
Phelim Gildernew (SF) 1,528
Seán McGuigan (SF) 1,290
Sharon McAleer (SDLP) 1,151
Robert Mulligan (UUP) 1,116
Neil Somerville (UUP) 1,022
Wills Robinson (DUP) 837
SF 2,818 (33.1%) 2 seats
DUP 2,421 (28.4%) 2 seats
UUP 2,138 (25.1%) 1 seat
SDLP 1,151 (13.5%) 1 seat

Electorate 14,030; total poll 8,528 (60.8%); invalid votes 137 (1.6%); valid votes 8,665; quota 1,219.

Somerville (UUP) finished 66.82 votes behind Robinson (DUP). A perfect balance between the UUP candidates could have got them both in; indeed, Unionists are not all that far from a fourth quota here.

Irish Observer and Faha both projected 2 DUP, 2 SF, 1 UUP, 1 SDLP, which was the actual outcome.


Magherafelt (5 seats)

Westminster seat: Mid Ulster
Includes these wards: Coolshinny, Glebe, Lissan, The Loup, and Town Parks East.

2014

Paul McLean (DUP) 1,106
Seán Clarke (SF) 1,095
Darren Totten (SF) 975
George Shiels (UUP) 785
Gareth Ferguson (TUV) 750
Christine McFlynn (SDLP) 719
Ross Mitchell (DUP) 627
Ben Niblock (SDLP) 362
Hugh McCloy (Independent) 231
Michael Kelly (Independent) 215
Robert Kelly (Independent) 118
SF 2,070 (29.6%) 2 seats
DUP 1,733 (24.8%) 1 seat
SDLP 1,081 (15.5%) 1 seat
UUP 785 (11.2%) 1 seat
TUV 750 (10.7%)
Inds 564 (8.1%)

Electorate 12,483; total poll 7,102 (56.9%); invalid votes 119 (1.7%); valid votes 6,983; quota 1,164.

Ferguson (TUV) was 109 votes behind Totten (SF) on the final count, with Unionist surpluses totalling 64 undistributed; Unionists as a whole were only 17 votes behind Nationalists on the final count, so that third Nationalist seat was gained very narrowly.

I do not know if the two Independent candidates called Kelly are related. I will note that Robert Kelly's transfers went to Unionsts ratehr than Nationalists (91:8) and Michael Kelly's to Nationalists rather than Unionists (97:20). McCloy's transfers also leaned Unionist, but not so heavily (175:65).

Irish Observer and Faha both project 2 SF, 1 DUP, 1 SDLP, 1 UUP, which was the actual result.


Dungannon (6 seats)

Westminster seat: Fermanagh and South Tyrone
Includes these wards: Ballysaggart, Killyman, Killymeal, Moy, Moygashel, and Mullaghmore.

2014

Barry Monteith (Independent) 1,458
Walter Cuddy (UUP) 1,083
Dominic Molloy (SF) 1,045
Kim Ashton (DUP) 848
Clement Cuthbertson (DUP) 693
Denise Mullen (SDLP) 677
Kenny Loughrin (TUV) 496
Dee Varsani (SF) 457
Winston Duff (UUP) 421
Hannah Su (Alliance) 233
DUP 1,541 (20.8%) 2 seats
UUP 1,504 (20.3%) 1 seat
SF 1,502 (20.3%) 1 seat
Ind 1,458 (19.7%) 1 seat
SDLP 677 (9.1%) 1 seat
TUV 496 (6.7%)
Alliance 233 (3.1%)

Electorate 14,067; total poll 7,586 (53.9%); invalid votes 175 (1.1%); valid votes 7,411; quota 1,059.

Varsani (SF) finished 293.98 votes behind Mullen (SDLP), with 254 Unionist surplus votes which would have widened the gap. Good balancing from SF could have squeezed the SDLP closer, but in the end I don't think the votes would have been there.

One of those situations where the top four parties all had 1.4 quotas; the DUP were slightly ahead anyway, but also balanced best, thus getting their second candidate in. Unionists in total had 3.3 quotas of first preferences, and nationalists 3.4 (counting Monteith, whose transfers went 272 SF, 103 SDLP, 19 Alliance, 6 Unionist and 1058 plumpers)

Irish Observer and Faha both projected 2 DUP, 2 SF, 1 UUP, 1 Ind. This is therefore a good result for the SDLP and disappointing for SF.


Cookstown (7 seats)

Westminster seat: Mid Ulster
Includes these wards: Coagh, Cookstown East, Cookstown South, Cookstown West, Loughry, Oaklands, and Pomeroy.

2014

Cathal Mallaghan (SF) 1,481
Trevor Wilson (UUP) 1,319
John Fitzgerald McNamee (SF) 1,254
Gavin Bell (SF) 996
Mark Glasgow (UUP) 817
Tony Quinn (SDLP) 803
Wilbert Buchanan (DUP) 717
Walter Millar (TUV) 636
Maureen Lees (DUP) 415
Maria Cleary-McGuffin (SDLP) 276
Alan Day (UKIP) 195
Mickey McDonald (Alliance) 117
SF 3,731 (42.3%) 3 seats
UUP 2,136 (23.7%) 2 seats
DUP 1,132 (12.5%) 1 seat
SDLP 1,079 (12.0%) 1 seat
TUV 636 (7.1%)
UKIP 195 (2.2%)
Alliance 117 (1.3%)

Electorate 16,135; total poll 9,167 (56.8%); invalid votes 141 (1.5%); valid votes 9,026; quota 1,129.

In the scramble for the last two Unionist seats, Millar (TUV) finished 218.98 votes behind Glasgow (UUP), and 277.07 votes behind Buchanan (DUP). Unionists started on 3.6 quotas and Nationalists on 4.3 so no other result was likely - though a fourth SF candidate could have put the SDLP in trouble.

Faha projected 3 SF, 2 UUP, 1 DUP, 1 SDLP, which was the actual result;
Irish Observer projected 3 SF, 2 DUP, 1 UUP, 1 SDLP. 

Moyola (5 seats)

Westminster seat: Mid Ulster
Includes these wards: Ballymaguigan, Bellaghy, Castledawson, Draperstown, and Tobermore.

2014

Caoimhe O'Neill (SF) 1,431
Anne Forde (DUP) 1,370
Catherine Elattar (SF) 1,256
Derek McKinney (UUP) 1,255
Peter Bateson (SF) 1,089
Austin Kelly (SDLP) 1,004
SF 3,776 (51.0%) 3 seats
DUP 1,370 (18.5%) 1 seat
UUP 1,255 (17.0%) 1 seat
SDLP 1,004 (13.6%)

Electorate 11,673; total poll 7,660 (65.6%); invalid votes 140 (1.8%); valid votes 7,520; quota 1,254.

With six candidates chasing five seats, and four getting in on the first count, this was resolved on the second count when of O'Neill's 196 surplus, 185 votes went to Bateson (also SF), putting him over the quota, and less than 11 to Kelly (SDLP). The gap between them therefore widened from 85 votes to 259.44. Unionist surpluses of 155 and SF surpluses of 60 were undistributed. Looking at the community balance,Unionists were 155 votes ahead of their second quota, and Nationalists 160 votes behind their fourth, which is not a huge gap.

Irish Observer and Faha both projected 3 SF, 1 SDLP, 1 DUP; this can perhaps be counted as a UUP gain from the SDLP.


Carntogher (5 seats)

Westminster seat: Mid Ulster
Includes these wards: Lower Glenshane, Maghera, Swatragh, Tamlaght O'Crilly, and Valley.

2014 

Seán McPeake (SF) 1,246
Kate McEldowney (SF) 1,200
Martin Kearney (SDLP) 1,116
Brian McGuigan (SF) 1,073
Gabhán McFalone (SF) 1,060
James Shiels (DUP) 675
Jackie Crawford (UUP) 651
Noel Stewart (TUV) 498
SF 4,579 (60.9%) 3 seats
SDLP 1,116 (14.8%) 1 seat
DUP 675 (9.0%) 1 seat
UUP 651 (8.7%)
TUV 498 (6.6%)

Electorate 11,673; total poll 7,660 (65.6%); invalid votes 140 (1.8%); valid votes 7,520; quota 1,254.

McFalone (SF), having started 13 votes behind McGuigan (also SF), finished 15 votes behind him. The two-vote difference came from the transferred surplus of Shiels (DUP).

Shiels was elected on the third count with 1514 votes, and a surplus therefore of 270. Since only 191 of his papers expressed any preference for any of the Nationalist candidates, they were transferred at full value - 187 to Kearney (SDLP), one each to McPeake and McEldowney, two to McGuigan and none to McFalone.

Irish Observer and Faha both projected 3 SF, 1 SDLP, 1 DUP, which was the actual result.


Torrent (6 seats)

Westminster seat: Mid Ulster
Includes these wards: Ardboe, Coalisland North, Coalisland South, Donaghmore, Stewartstown, and Washing Bay.

2014

Linda Dillon (SF) 1,218
Joe O'Neill (SF) 1,147
Kenneth Reid (UUP) 1,104
Ronan McGinley (SF) 906
Keith Buchanan (DUP) 851
Mickey Gillespie (SF) 840
Deirdre Mayo (SDLP) 759
Malachy Quinn (SDLP) 733
Feargal O'Donnell (Independent) 667
SF 4,111 (50.0%) 4 seats
SDLP 1,492 (18.1%) 1 seat
UUP 1,104 (13.4%) 1 seat
DUP 851 (10.4%)
Ind 667 (8.1%)

Electorate 14,672; total poll 8,363 (57.0%); invalid votes 138 (1.7%); valid votes 8,225; quota 1,176.

Buchanan (DUP) finished 213.47 votes behind Gillespie (SF), with an SDLP surplus of 185 undistributed which would have widened the gap.

SF's achievement of four seats from 3.5 quotas looks impressive, but O'Donnell's transfers (311 to SF, 130 to SDLP, 3 to Unionists and 223 non-transferable, incidentally altering the order of the SDLP candidates by pushing Quinn ahead of Mayo) put Nationalist parties collectively over five quotas, which made the fourth SF seat pretty inevitable.

Faha projected 4 SF, 1 SDLP, 1 UUP, which was the actual result. Irish Observer projected 3 SF, 1 SDLP, 1 UUP, 1 Ind.


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