North Belfast

Details of each count in 2003 election

map 1 map 2
Maps by Conal Kelly and Nicholas Whyte

See also results of all North Belfast elections 1993-2010 and full counts from 1998 and 2007. Spreadsheet for 2003 here.
 




Surplus Dodds
Surplus Kelly
Surplus McCausland
Exclude Gallagher & Delaney
Nigel Dodds DUP 9276 -4771 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505
Gerry Kelly SF 5524 - 5524 -1019 4505 - 4505 - 4505
Nelson McCausland DUP 1500 3600.6 5100.6 - 5100.6 -595.6 4505 - 4505
Fred Cobain UUP 2961 377.91 3338.91 0.36 3339.27 170.19 3509.46 5.18 3514.64
Alban Maginness SDLP 3186 13.26 3199.26 111.42 3310.68 2.25 3312.93 10 3322.93
Kathy Stanton SF 2990 0 2990 813.78 3803.78 0.09 3803.87 9 3812.87
Billy Hutchinson PUP 1358 329.46 1687.46 0.9 1688.36 122.76 1811.12 7.53 1818.65
Pat Convery SDLP 2108 5.61 2113.61 45.18 2158.79 1.71 2160.5 23.18 2183,68
Fraser Agnew UUC 802 198.39 1000,39 0 1000.39 157.05 1157.44 0.09 1157.53
Eliz Byrne McCullough NIWC 467 11.22 478.22 4.14 482.36 3.24 485.6 12.6 498.2
Frank McCoubrey Ind 469 82.62 551.62 0.36 551.98 66.6 618.58 0.18 618.76
Marjorie Hawkins Alliance 305 8.67 313.67 1.62 315.29 3.06 318.35 7.51 325.86
Raymond McCord Ind 218 66.81 284.81 1.8 286.61 38.52 325.13 4.69 329.82
Peter Emerson Green 261 8.16 269.16 2.34 271.5 6.39 277.89 21.51 299.4
Marcella Delaney WP 90 1.02 91.02 0.18 91,2 0,72 91.92 -91,92 0
John Gallagher VFYP 17 2.55 19.55 0 19.55 0.36 19.91 -19.91 0



64.72 64.72 36.92 101.64 22.66 124.3 10.36 134.66

Stage 2: Of Dodds' 9276 votes, 7060 (76.1%) went to his running-mate McCausland (DUP); 741 (8.0%) went to Cobain (UUP); 646 (7.0%) went to Hutchinson (PUP); 389 (4.2%) went to Agnew (UUC); 162 (1.7%) went to McCoubrey (Ind); 131 (1.4%) went to McCord (Ind); 26 went to Maginness and 11 to Convery, thus 37 (0.4%) to the SDLP; 22 (0.2%) went to Byrne McCullough (NIWC); 17 (0.2%) to Hawkins (Alliance); 16 (0.2%) to Emerson (Green); 5 (0.1%) to Gallagher (VFYP); 2 (0.02%) to Delaney (WP); and none to Stanton (SF) with 48 (0.52%) non-transferable.

Stage 3: Of Kelly's 5524 votes, 4521 (81.8%) went to his running-mate Stanton (SF); 619 went to Maginness and 251 to Convery, thus 870 (15.7%) to the SDLP; 23 (0.4%) to Byrne McCullough (NIWC); 13 (0.2%) to Emerson (Green); 10 (0.2%) to McCord (Ind); 9 (0.2%) to Hawkins (Alliance); 5 (0.1%) to Hutchinson (PUP); 2 (0.04%) to Cobain (UUP); also 2 (0.04%) to McCoubrey (Ind); 1 (0.02%) to Delany (WP); and none to either Agnew (UUC) or Gallagher (VFYP), with 68 (1.2%) non-transferable.

Stage 4: Of the 7060 votes transferred from Dodds to McCausland (both DUP), 1891 (26.8%) went to Cobain (UUP); 1745 (24.7%) to Agnew (UUC); 1364 (19.3%) to Hutchinson (PUP); 740 (10.5%) to McCoubrey (Ind); 428 (6.1%) to McCord (Ind); 71 (1.0%) to Emerson (Green); 25 to Maginness and 19 to Convery, thus 44 (0.6%) to the SDLP; 36 (0.5%) to Byrne McCullough (NIWC); 34 (0.5%) to Hawkins (Alliance); 8 (0.1%) to Delaney (WP); 4 (0.1%) to Gallagher (VFYP); and 1 (0.01%) to Stanton (SF) with 694 (9.8%) non-transferable.




Exclude Emerson
Exclude McCord
Exclude Hawkins
Exclude McCoubrey
Nigel Dodds DUP 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505
Gerry Kelly SF 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505
Nelson McCausland DUP 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505
Fred Cobain UUP 3514.64 24.34 3538.98 68.79 3607.77 88.52 3696,29 205.21 3901.5
Alban Maginness SDLP 3322.93 27 3349.93 15.87 3365.8 70.74 3436.54 7.54 3444.08
Kathy Stanton SF 3812.87 20.05 3832.92 5,36 3838.28 3.36 3841.64 0.18 3841.82
Billy Hutchinson PUP 1818.65 17.79 1836.44 37.84 1874.28 13.29 1887.57 199.85 2087.42
Pat Convery SDLP 2183.68 29.54 2213.22 15.18 2228.4 44.36 2272.76 6.6 2279.36
Fraser Agnew UUC 1157.53 10.74 1168.27 49.37 1217.64 16.98 1234.62 100.6 1335.22
Eliz Byrne McCullough NIWC 498.2 74.96 573.16 12.41 585.57 107.98 693.55 8.69 702.24
Frank McCoubrey Ind 618.76 2.09 620.85 55.68 676.53 6 682.53 -682.53 0
Marjorie Hawkins Alliance 325.86 44.29 370.15 13.18 383.33 -383.33 0 - -
Raymond McCord Ind 329.82 10.87 340.69 -340.69 0 - - - -
Peter Emerson Green 299.4 -299.4 0 - - - - - -


134.66 37.73 172.39 67.01 239.4 32.1 271.5 153.86 425.36




Exclude Byrne, Agnew & McCullough
Surplus Cobain
Exclude Convery
Nigel Dodds DUP 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505
Gerry Kelly SF 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505
Nelson McCausland DUP 4505 - 4505 - 4505 - 4505
Fred Cobain UUP 3901.5 654 4555.5 -50.5 4505 - 4505
Alban Maginness SDLP 3444.08 223.02 3667.1 8.37 3675.47 1894 5569.47
Kathy Stanton SF 3841.82 53.62 3895.44 0.93 3896.37 222.06 4118.43
Billy Hutchinson PUP 2087.42 404.53 2491.95 34.41 2526.36 78.69 2605.05
Pat Convery SDLP 2279.36 201.1 2480.46 6.51 2486.97 -2486.97 0
Fraser Agnew UUC 1335.22 -1335.22 0 - - - -
Eliz Byrne McCullough NIWC 702.24 -702.24 0 - - - -


425.36 501.19 926.55 0.28 926.83 292.22 1219.05

Stage 11:
There are two mathematical possibilities for the fate of the 654 votes transferred simutaneously from Byrne McCullough (NIWC) and Agnew (UUC) to Cobain (UUP). I think it more likely that 111 (17.0%) transferred on to Hutchinson (PUP); 27 to Maginness and 21 to Convery, thus 48 (7.3%) to the SDLP; and 3 (0.5%) to Stanton (SF) with 492 (72.5%) non-transferable. But it could have been 37 (5.7%) to Hutchinson (PUP); 9 to Maginness and 7 to Convery, thus 16 (2.4%) to the SDLP; and 1 (0.2%) to Stanton (SF) with 600 (91.7%) non-transferable.

See also: Jim Riley's analysis of votes and seats in the 1998 Assembly election | The constituencies | Single Transferable Vote | The political parties | Useful books and links

Full 2003 results for each seat: East Belfast | North Belfast | South Belfast | West Belfast | East Antrim | North Antrim | South Antrim | North Down | South Down | Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Foyle | Lagan Valley | East Londonderry | Mid Ulster | Newry and Armagh | Strangford | West Tyrone | Upper Bann

Other sites based at ARK: ORB (Online Research Bank) | CAIN (Conflict Archive on the INternet) | Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey

Your comments, please! Send an email to me at nicholas.whyte@gmail.com..

Compiled by Nicholas Whyte, Becky Vanasek and Simon Smyth, 11 April 2004.



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Disclaimer: Nicholas Whyte 1998-2004 Last Updated on Saturday, 20-Mar-2010 19:54