Background
to the
Research
- There is a group of young
people aged 16 or 17 who are not in education, vocational training or
employment and who are ineligible for benefits under the restructuring
that took place in the social security system in the late 1980s.
- This marginalised group
are under-researched as they are mostly likely to be excluded from the
claimant count, and under-represented in surveys such as the LFS and
the Youth Cohort Study.
Research
Approach
- This article presents data from a research
project commissioned by the T&EA and carried out in 1995 into unemployment
and inactivity among teenagers in NI. The 'Status 0 Survey' explored
the education and economic activities of a random sample of young people
over a two year period from the summer of 1993 to the summer of 1995.
The survey was conducted by the means of face-to-face interviews carried
out by interviewers from an independent organisation unconnected with
government in NI.
Main
Findings
- Data from the T&EA, DENI, the Census and
the LFS suggests that there are between 1,000 and 1,400 unemployed 16
year olds in NI at any one time. This is between 4 and 6 per cent of
the total population of 16 year olds.
The 'Status 0 Survey'
- There appeared to be no large outflow from
vocational training schemes during the first year following compulsory
schooling. The data suggest that the educational and labour market activities
of young people are reasonably stable in the first two years following
compulsory education.
- Around 8% of each cohort of young people
in NI experience long spells of unemployment between the ages of 16
and 18. This represents about 2,000 young people each year.
- Slightly more than three-quarters (78%)
of the full cohort did not experience unemployment over the two-year
period. Eighteen per cent (one-fifth) experienced one spell of unemployment
and 4% two spells. Only 1% had experienced three or more spells.
- Forty-four per cent of those who had experienced
at least one spell of unemployment had a duration of 3 months or less,
and one-fifth a spell of 3-6 months. Thirty-six per cent of those who
had some experience of unemployment had experienced a spell of 6 months
or more (half a spell of 6-12 months and half a spell of more than 12
months).
- The data suggest that the problem for
the young unemployed in NI is not that they move in and out of employment,
rather that once unemployed they find it difficult to get out of unemployment.
- Slightly more than three-quarters of those
who entered unemployment in October 1993 (immediately after school)
experienced a long spell of unemployment during the next two years.
This compared with a figure of between 5 and 7 per cent for those who
entered some form of activity in October 1993.
- In relation to unemployment, there seem
to be no significant differences between young people with 3-4 GCSE's
and those who have 0-2 GCSEs. The main difference lies between those
with 5 or more GCSEs and those with less than five.
- Young Catholics are less likely than their
non-Catholic counterparts to enter unemployment immediately after leaving
school - as they are more likely to participate in education and vocational
training. Girls are more likely to perform well in examinations and
therefore are less likely to be unemployed.
- Young people living with two parents are
less likely to experience a long spell of unemployment than those living
with one parent.
- Young people who attended Grammar school
were significantly less likely to be in long-term unemployment. Independently,
those who attended schools in the North East of NI were also less likely
to be unemployed.
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